Had Labor finished third, its preferences flowed less strongly to the Greens and the Nationals would have had a narrow victory. In North Shore, Felicity Wilson has withstood two previous Independent challenges. North-west again is Riverstone (LIB 6.2%), first won by the Liberal Party in 2011 when MP Kevin Conolly was elected after a swing of more than 30%. Ms Hodkinson said the big issues for Ballina were housing and the economy. The second seat is Kiama where Gareth Ward was suspended from the Liberal Party and later from Parliament after being charged with several offences including sexual assualt. The Shire was formed on 1 January 1977 by the amalgamation of the Municipality of Ballina and Tintenbar Shire. Theres obviously a big move to the independents. This is a seat where the Greens have outpolled Labor at the last three elections. For NSW, that would mean $6.5 billion in revenue and $2.4 billion in GST over a decade. The first was a short-lived ban on greyhound racing, the second a forced merger of local councils, including a number of small rural councils. Willoughby is the seat of former Premier Gladys Berejiklian. Each payment, once made, is non-refundable, subject to law. Dont be a passive reader, send us your epistles. As the map below shows, polling places in Ballina Shire favoured the National Party, while Byron Shire favoured the Greens. Quin es quin en el precio en los combustibles. The vast developments associated with the new airport under construction in Sydney's west are changing the future shape of Sydney. The loss of Wagga Wagga (IND 15.5% v NAT) to Independent Joe McGirr at a September 2018 by-election was a bad result for the government, but the circumstance that caused the by-election have had repercussions to this day. We provide a first-class careers service including career consulting, job planning, rsum writing, job interview coaching, LinkedIn profile summaries and corporate training. The 2004 redistribution of electoral districts estimated that the electoral district would have 47,246 electors on 29 April 2007. Roy Butler in Barwon (IND 6.6% v NAT) has a safer margin but Barwon is a vast and diversified electorate covering 44% of the state. Claudia Catterall handing out for Hanabeth Luke at BISC pre-poll yesterday. Electorate Search. Antony Green is the ABC's Chief Elections Analyst. Could Australia follow suit? This option is only available where expressly indicated with the offer. The Labor candidate is senior teacher and former triathlete Mick Maroney. The Labor candidate is Ash Ambihaipahar. On 25 March New South Wales voters will decide whether Premier Dominic Perrottet and the 12 year-old Coalition government he leads should remain in office, or whether Chris Minns should be the state's 47th Premier leading a new Labor government. The last Premier to survive a full term and face re-election was 20 years ago - Bob Carr in 2003. Is the National vote high enough to avoid being passed on preferences? Ballina Shire is a local government area in the Northern Rivers region of New South Wales, Australia. Federal MP for Richmond. Kiama (LIB 12.0%) had always been a Labor seat until won by Gareth Ward at the 2011 election. For Labor, the strength in the seat is converting previous National Party voters to accept that theres a need for change.. federal electorate. Willoughby (LIB 3.3% v IND) and North Shore (LIB 11.1% v IND) would both be won by Independents based on Federal results. Smith also has professional experience working in the NSW Industrial Relations Commission and briefing members of parliament. The volunteers representing the candidates have a front-row seat on the mood of the electorate, even if they are slightly biased. He also felt most early electors had already made up their minds. Labor has also become the natural party of state government in Victoria. You are only entitled to this subscription if and for as long as you hold a valid and active subscription with your Google Account. After purchase, this subscription may be managed in your Google Account Settings. And I think thats at the heart of what a lot of people are actually thinking deep inside right now.. East Hills was amongst the last seats gained by the Liberal Party in 2011 and has been retained since despite a state-wide swing of 12% to Labor over two elections. In 2023 the Coalition still lives with the legacy of two decisions championed by former Premier Mike Baird. Overall's prospects looked to have been improved by the withdrawal of first choice Labor candidate, former Canberra Radiers footballer Terry Campese. Ms Dean said there was a wide divergence of political views from the electors in Ballina. The Labor Party blocked former Premier Bob Carr and his Treasurer Michael Egan from privatising electricity assets in the 1990s. It has been held since a February 2022 by-election by the National Party's Nichole Overall. (Map). The Liberal candidate is Jordan Lane, who last year became the youngest Ryde Mayor on record. Each payment, once made, is non-refundable, subject to law. Despite electorate changes, your local member remains the person elected on the electorates in place at the previous federal election or subsequent by-election. The ABC's election computer is designed to highlight seats that change party status, so classing Kiama as Liberal-held will give greater prominence to Gareth Ward if he is elected as an Independent. Nationals Leader Troy Grant resigned after the defeat and Baird departed shortly afterwards in January 2017. 36 year-old Pugh has been the regional organiser for the state's Public Service Association and was previously the Assistant Secretary of the Australian Services Union. In the 88 years between 1923 and 2011, the only Labor Party Leader not to serve as Premier was Pat Hills. 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"In January the federal Parliamentary Budget Office costed the legalisation of cannabis for the Australian Greens. It makes it a much more enjoyable experience for the volunteers. Ballina Electorate. His National opponent is former NSW Country Women's Association President Annette Turner. Kiama has been classed as Liberal held which means victory by either Ward or the Labor Party will appear on election night as a Liberal loss. Prices after the introductory pricing period may be varied in accordance with the full Terms and Conditions. To date both sides have offered bandaid solutions rather than a fundemental re-design of road charging. Manly has a history of being won by Independents, most recently between 1991 and 2007. I'm proud to be a local, fighting to get a fair share for our community from Canberra. Monaro would be Labor-held based on 2022 Federal election results. Tags 2022 federal election pre-poll Ballina Nationals Labor Animal Justice Party BISC Hanabeth Luke Previous article Leila's off to Oxford! Whan was a popular member for Monaro from 2003 to 2011 and ran the Nation als a close race in both 2011 and 2015.. Goulburn (LIB 3.1%) has not been won by Labor for six decades but sits on a winnable margin, while Federal results suggest the Nationals will be under pressure in the far north-east seat of Tweed (NAT 5.0%). The decisions combined to defeat the government at the November 2016 Orange by-election, the seat lost to Phil Donato of the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers Party (SFF). Frank Kelly writes of Peter Duttons racism (Echo 8 February) stating that Whitlam, Fraser, Hawke and Keating were famously Simon Haslam Labor was excluded and the Greens went on to win with a 3.1% margin versus the Nationals. Rather there are a range of scenarios to watch for. Then, after the initial 12 weeks it is $28 billed approximately 4 weekly. The legalisation of cannabis in parts of the United States has contributed to a total economic growth of $38 - $46 billion in 2019 and $54.6 - $66.9 billion in 2020. Every seat Labor misses short of Parramatta's margin requires victory in a safer Liberal seat, with Oatley (LIB 6.8%), Camden (LIB 7.3%), Ryde (LIB 8.9%) and South Coast (LIB 10.6%) the seats to watch. Im really pleased with the response today, she said. South of the harbour, Vaucluse (LIB 19.4% v GRN) has always been a Liberal seat but lies in the middle of the Federal seat of Wentworth, won by Independents twice in the last six years. To find your federal electorate enter your criteria, then select either locality, Claudia Catterall was volunteering for the independent candidate Hanabeth Luke and said she was also hopeful. 2 148 sq km Location Description: Richmond covers an area from the New South Wales/Queensland border in the north to Ballina and Pimlico in the south. Based on Federal election results in the local marginal seat of Gilmore, Labor's vote in South Coast is much higher than at the last state election. Ward remains popular in Kiama and will re-contest as an Independent against a new Liberal candidate. contact the AEC Penrith was won by Liberal Stuart Ayres at a 2010 by-election, has followed the state swing back to Labor, and Labor will be hoping another push will deliver victory. My partner drove while I conducted reconnaissance for that elusive parking spot. The changees in party numbers since 2019 are -. Major centres include Ballina, Alstonville, Lennox Head, Byron Bay, Brunswick Heads, Ocean Shores and Mullumbimby. Ms Sauvere said the Greens presence on the booth had been boosted by the presence of Kashmir Miller and Jenny Leong in recent days, which created a bit of media buzz. . Drummoyne has been classed as Liberal held. At the state election it should be a more vigorous contest with Police Prosecutor Mohit Kumar defending the seat against photographer and businessman Warren Kirby for Labor. Next to Claudia was Judy Dean, who was encouraging people to vote for the Animal Justice Party in the Senate, and was struck by the number of people wanting to vote early. MLA Gabrielle Upton is retiring, the new Liberal candidate is journalist Kellie Sloane, and there is an Independent Karen Freyer. Ballina is a coastal town and is connected to the Pacific Highway which passes nearby. When local musician Lisa Hunt arrived for a meeting with police last Thursday she was hoping for a somewhat friendlier reception than she had received on the last occasion. cost) billed approximately 4 weekly for the first 12 weeks. I think its a great idea myself, she said. The Labor candidate is Shoalhaven Councillor Liza Butler. This page last updated But Ballina lies at the southern end of Tweed where Federal results indicate Green support is strongest. The publication of letters is at the discretion of the letterseditor. Although the BISC booth is in the federal seat of Richmond, people from Page are also able to vote early at the Ballina pre-poll. Except that the Liberal Party had a good result in Lindsay at last year's Federal election which would make Londonderry a very marginal Liberal seat. The three Greens in the Assembly give Labor another option to take office if the party falls short of majority. Before entering the NSW Parliament, Franklin was the State Director of the NSW Nationals for seven years. No cancellations during the first 12 months. At every election he contested, the National first preference vote was above 50%. The government's most marginal seats are East Hills (LIB 0.1%) and Penrith (LIB 0.6%). A roughy worth watching is Camden (LIB 7.3%), which was gained by the Liberal Party in 2011 and has been represented since 2019 by Peter Sidgreaves. Electorate Officer Sep 2022 - Present6 months Office of Ed Husic MP, Federal Member for Chifley and Minister for Industry and Science - Provide administrative support and act as the initial. Former Ballina councillor and Chairman of Rous County Council Keith Williams was handing out for the Richmond incumbent, Labors Justine Elliot, as well as Patrick Deegan in Page. Kristina Keneally came to office mid-term and lost her only election while Nathan Rees didn't survive long enough to lead Labor to an election. This service may include material from Agence France-Presse (AFP), APTN, Reuters, AAP, CNN and the BBC World Service which is copyright and cannot be reproduced. Select the 'Find online' button. Not in conjunction with any other offer. Authorised by Jed Goodfellow on behalf of the Australian Alliance for Animals, 2 Paddington Street, Paddington, NSW 2021. Taking into account by-elections, changes in party affiliation and a redistribution, the Coalition enters the election campaign in minority with only 46 seats, Liberal 34 and Nationals 12. Londonderry (ALP 3.0%) is held by Labor Deputy Leader Prue Car and as a Labor held seat should be retained. Whether problems with new inter-urban trains are a specification problem or an industrial dispute might be a matter of opinion. Since 2003, Morris Iemma, Barry O'Farrell, Mike Baird and Gladys Berejiklian have won elections and departed in a single term. The Labor margin was 1.9% after the 2011 election and Labor has gone backwards in Kogarah while the party's vote has increased across the state. ; button serve as Premier was Pat Hills the 88 years between and... 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